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February 19, 2021
MITRE Study Confirms No Dominion Irregularities
MITRE Corporation—a non-partisan, American, nonprofit organization that manages federally funded research for U.S. government agencies—released a report debunking allegations of election irregularities, including in Dominion machines.
Beginning in October 2020, MITRE’s National Election Security Lab gathered data from eight swing states, including data related to early voting methods, return and rejection rates of early ballots, election results, and exit polls. Key findings are below:
No widespread vote manipulation by Dominion machines.
MITRE compared the election results data provided by eight key states in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. The team split the data into two sets - 318 counties that used Dominion machines, and one set consisting of the 333 counties that did not - to examine whether unexpected spikes in Democratic support appeared in counties using Dominion machines.
As the table above shows, the mean and median change in Democratic support was nearly identical for Dominion and non-Dominion counties. In fact, non-Dominion counties actually had slightly higher levels of increased votes for Democrats. Michigan and Wisconsin had statistically significant greater increases in Democratic support in counties that did not use Dominion machines than in those that did.
No evidence of vote flipping, ballot box stuffing, or ballot harvesting in Georgia.
MITRE conducted a statewide analysis comparing the percentage of votes for the winner to the percentage turnout in a district. The team employed a “fingerprinting” technique used to detect vote flipping and found Georgia’s fingerprint was consistent with parameters and patterns seen in fair elections.
The 2020 election was Dominion’s first in the Peach State. MITRE’s analysis of Georgia’s data found that “while the 2020 election had a greater increase in Democratic support than in 2016 and 2012, it pales in comparison to some of the increases in 2008.” In fact, some Georgia counties in the 2008 election, before Dominion machines were in use in Georgia, experienced Democratic increases two times larger than the 2020 increases.
Data anomalies in Antrim County, MI were caused by user error, corrected quickly, and did not have an impact on the official election results.
The official results for Antrim County recorded Biden’s percentage as 37.4%, which is consistent with previous elections. A subsequent hand audit on December 17, 2020 by bipartisan election officials verified that the official results were accurate.
The report can be found here.